Analysis of Potential Democratic 2024 Presidential Candidates

Speculation over the potential Democratic candidates for the 2024 presidential election centers on President Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and former First Lady Michelle Obama. Despite concerns about Biden’s mental acuity, the prevailing narrative suggests that if he remains eligible, he will secure the nomination. However, should Biden be unable to run, Harris stands ready as a formidable alternative.

Governor Newsom and Michelle Obama would need to displace Harris to be considered as contenders. Harris, expressing her readiness to serve, presents a significant challenge to any potential rival. Her track record of winning elections, coupled with her dual identity as a female and a black individual, aligns well with the Democratic base’s preferences.

Political maneuvers within the Democratic Party include strategic endorsements and the relocation of primary elections to states with significant black voter populations. In 2020, key endorsements from figures like Rep. James Clyburn played a crucial role in boosting Biden’s candidacy. Additionally, commitments, such as Biden pledging to nominate a black female for the Supreme Court, exemplify efforts to secure loyalty within the party.

Governor Newsom faces obstacles, particularly as public sentiment indicates dissatisfaction with the state of the country. Economic concerns, inflation, gas prices, crime, and immigration pose challenges for Newsom’s potential candidacy. His alignment with progressive policies, including support for lenient criminal justice measures and ambitious climate change initiatives, may not resonate with voters facing broader issues.

Michelle Obama emerges as a potential alternative, given her popularity and appeal to black voters. However, the reluctance of both Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey to pursue political roles limits the choices for a substitute candidate.

Larry Elder is a bestselling author and nationally syndicated radio talk-show host. To find out more about Larry Elder, or become an “Elderado,” visit Follow Larry on Twitter @larryelder. To read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate webpage at



The views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of the Daily Caller News Foundation.

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